L’élection québécoise de 2018
L’élection québécoise de 2018 par Philippe Mongrain Depuis la fin des années 1960, la compétition entre le Parti libéral et le Parti québécois s’est principalement articulée autour des questions constitutionnelles et de la place du Québec à l’intérieur ou à l’extérieur de la fédération canadienne. Bien que ce clivage persiste et que le PQ cherche […] Read more
Do Volatile Voters Vote Less Correctly?
Abstract The literature on electoral volatility and the literature on electoral campaigns hold contradictory views on voters switching vote (intention) during the campaign. In this note, we shed new light on this contradiction, making two contributions. First, we investigate the extent to which stable and volatile voters choose the correct party. Second, we distinguish […] Read more
La montée du populisme est-elle réelle?
Are the Supporters of Populist Parties Loyal Voters?
Abstract Scholars of electoral behavior regularly link political dissatisfaction to two types of behavior: voting for populist parties and unstable voting behavior. It is therefore not surprising that the electorates of populist parties are generally assumed to be rather volatile. In this paper, we argue that this is not necessarily the case – in particular […] Read more
Explaining the Trump Vote
Abstract The campaign leading to the 2016 US presidential election included a number of unconventional forms of campaign rhetoric. In earlier analyses, it was claimed that the Trump victory could be seen as a form of protest voting. This article analyzes the determinants of voters’ choices to investigate the validity of this claim. Based on […] Read more
The time of the vote choice in Belgium
Affect versus Cognition
Abstract Citizens tend to overestimate the electoral success of their preferred party. We investigate the extent to which Belgian voters overestimate the result of the party they vote for and what factors explain which voters do so more than others. Our focus is on the impact of educational attainment and partisan attachment on overestimating one’s […] Read more
Conférence de Martial Foucault : Présidentielle française: l’élection de tous les dangers
13 April 2017 • 17:30
Conference organised by the CERIUM, in collaboration with ‘Le Centre Jean-Monnet-Montréal’ and the Canada Research Chair in Electoral Democracy. More information and registration can be found here. Read more
New research project: accountability in Belgian elections
The Research Foundation Flanders (FWO) has announced the results of the 2016 application round (Research Projects and Research Grants). One of the funded research proposals is a project on accountability in Belgian elections, which will be co-supervised by Marc Hooghe and Ruth Dassonneville. The project will start in January 2017. Summary of the research […] Read more